MMB forecasting application

To create score tables, choose a target variable, then specify the vintage date, forecast sources, data scenarios, and horizons.

1. Choose your evaluation view

Choose exact score tables or explore models together in an interactive 3D plot. Then select your sample and models below.

Edit selections Sample, models, scenarios & horizons

Target variable Changing the target variable reloads this page.

Sample filter If selected, forecast errors targeting 2020Q2 or 2020Q3 are excluded from the averages.

Forecast origin (vintage quarter)

Selected quarters identify the forecast origin: when the forecast was made. The target quarter is the origin plus the forecast horizon; h0 is a nowcast.

Forecast source

Models become selectable once at least one vintage is chosen. Score files are loaded only after clicking Update results; some selected combinations may therefore return no results.

Data scenario All Clear

Horizon All Clear

Note: Distributional scores for nowcasts might not be available when including current-quarter information.

Score Tables

Performance map